Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.112518 9.040471 10.085885 11.362414 12.895147 14.697445 17.009451
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.560137 7.723908 9.152523 11.077324 13.672782 17.164335 22.436224
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.744854 7.006559 8.645276 11.008816 14.480000 19.674686 28.712985
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.187676 6.494158 8.264724 10.958288 15.201004 22.167014 36.026682
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.866857 6.237272 8.168077 11.257016 16.469235 25.892935 47.717915
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.423308 5.751454 7.668626 10.836107 16.429934 27.243347 55.314214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.055110 5.334710 7.218652 10.415486 16.284095 28.318335 63.103476
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.781618 5.030593 6.904614 10.168465 16.395936 29.968098 74.138473
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.584049 4.821933 6.715646 10.104217 16.840650 32.543142 91.404346
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.555512 4.865288 6.928639 10.778447 18.949791 40.275116 144.745309
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.472699 4.815595 6.980928 11.160479 20.533616 47.595179 223.208578
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.319247 4.641476 6.805166 11.073913 21.002239 51.752984 302.186772
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.154514 4.449429 6.601172 10.945349 21.453456 56.675896 442.954144
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.977502 4.228165 6.331515 10.656413 21.455855 60.154877 632.542808
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.849791 4.079629 6.178130 10.590407 22.052780 66.856254 1145.158747
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.736678 3.947648 6.042528 10.542615 22.696698 74.671566 2598.750069
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.675316 3.898761 6.054842 10.824522 24.432186 91.042084 29321.665493
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.536934 3.709065 5.786931 10.427243 23.906258 93.048114 393405.421385
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.408982 3.531291 5.530453 10.029808 23.295956 94.109713 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.309359 3.398123 5.351063 9.796202 23.192578 99.130488 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.236187 3.307716 5.248334 9.735417 23.684196 110.103931 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.241350 3.355726 5.419689 10.372787 26.980398 157.553574 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.215982 3.347194 5.477196 10.733442 29.429323 211.099671 NaN